The Know-It-All Draft Strategy: Dual Tight Ends

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

*PPR League Format*

 

Kyle Stafford – @Kstafford32

What are your options if your team ends up drafting at the back end of the 1st round?

The Answer:  The Dual TE Threat

            When you first propose this strategy, most people automatically think Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham. To have a shot at that, you would have to use up your 1st and 2nd round picks. You would also, have to not strike out with the Running Backs and Wideouts you take in rounds 3-7.  When I look at it, I see it as a major risk. Many bottom picks will try this strategy on draft day, so you might have competition for these elite guys to deal with. There has to be a better way.

This only works in standard PPR leagues that allow a TE to qualify at the single Flex Position. It is very simple, yet genius. Here is the breakdown:

Rounds 1-4:

Target your pass catching duel threat Running Backs, and your heavily targeted Wideouts. If Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, or Tom Brady do not fall to you in the First Round, it is my belief that you should not draft a QB until Round 6 or later. You can get a better value-per-pick on a Quarterback in that range than you can in the 2nd-5th rounds.

Round 5:

There is 80% chance Antonio Gates, Vernon Davis, and Aaron Hernandez are still on the board. I like them in that order based on the amount of targets they receive. Based on fantasy points, these 3 compare to Jordy Nelson, Victor Cruz, and Mike Wallace who are all 3rd round to 4th round tier guys based on the latest ADP ratings.

Round 6-7:

I like a QB in Round 6. There is a chance Tony Romo or Philip Rivers might fall here. Even if they don’t, you still can pick up Peyton Manning, Matt Schuab, or Jay Cutler. Round 7 is where I take a Tight End for my Flex. If you are lucky, Vernon Davis might fall here. If not, you can still pick up Brandon Pettigrew, Jermichael Finley, or Jermaine Gresham. Based on fantasy points, those 3 compare to DeWayne Bowe, DeSean Jackson, Eric Decker who are 5th round tier players based on ADP ratings. Similar Running Backs that compare to these Tight Ends are Fred Jackson, Marshawn Lynch, and Michael Turner, which are 3rd round tier players. The obvious point, you get better value drafting a Tight End at your Flex.

This strategy is not perfect. You need several situations to play out for the right players to fall. A run on Tight Ends in early rounds could throw you off. Like any league, it is all about adapting quickly to the current flow of your draft. I always go into a draft with multiple strategies, and based on how my draft starts out I go with what draft scheme works best for the current situation.

Questions? Comments? Follow Me on Twitter @Kstafford32

Week 5 Fantasy Football Update

The Know-It-All’s Fantasy Prep

 

Week 5 Weekend Player Updates

 

Kyle Stafford – @Kstafford32

As Week 5 approaches, I feel the need to mix it up a little. I am going to lay out the top 5 free agents for each position. Here we go:

Quarterback:

Matt Hasselbeck, TEN:  As I predicted, another great week 3 TDs 200+ yards. Faces a Pittsburgh Defense that has had a lot of holes this season.

Broncos will pick between Brady Quinn and Tim Tebow soon

Mark Sanchez, NYJ:  Did not look good against Baltimore, but who does? Faces New England and Miami Secondaries the next two weeks. Should bounce back.

Kevin Kolb, ARI:  Is going up against a Vikings Defense that let Matt Cassel beat them deap many times last week.

Donovan McNabb, MIN:  This is one of the few times you will see something positive written about him from me. I favor his matchup this week. The Cardinals secondary is young and careless.

Tim Tebow, DEN:  Ya, I went there. If Orton can’t get the job done this week you could see a change at the QB postion. Now before you bash his throwing mechanics look at what he did in 2010 (2010 Game Stats). In the final 2 games he had a rushing TD in each game, threw for 300 in one game and rushed for 94 in the other. He is atleast Tyler Thigpen 2.0.

Running Backs:

Ryan Torian, WAS:  You never know who Shanahan will hand the ball off to, but you can almost count that they will be productive.

Dexter McCluster, KC:  Looks to be getting the bulk of the carries. We will see how long he holds up. Has a favorable matchup against Indy.

Former LSU Star Stevan Ridley is showing up strong in New England

Isaac Redman, PIT: With Mendenhall and Moore injuryed, Redman should see the bulk of the carries in Pitt for Week 5.

Stevan Ridley, NE:  Has came out of nowhere and is giving Ben J-G-E a run for his carries. BUT  New England has never been consistant with their running backs over the years.

Montario Hardesty, CLE:  Has not forfilled his full potential, but did a decent job in Hillis’s absence

Wide Receivers & Tight Ends:

Jacoby Jones WR, HOU:  With Andre Johnson out, you can expect his targets to go up

Preston Parker is emerging as a threat in Tampa

Jared Cook TE, TEN:  With Kenny Brit gone, Cook is now Hasselbecks favorite target. Look for his fantasy numbers to spike.

Antonio Brown WR, PIT:  Pittsburgh’s run game has been ineffective. Look for Brown’s role to grow as they expand the passing game.

Jermaine Gresham TE, CIN:  As Andy Daulton develops, he will rely more on his pass catching TE.

Preston Parker WR, TB:  Nobody is paying attention to this kid in Yahoo/ESPN leagues. He is owned by less than 6%. He is getting the targets and as Freeman becomes more comfortable in this offense look for his production to rise. Tampa is built to be a passing team if Freeman can take hold of it.

***I do get responses/questions about my articles from the readers of Can of Corn and I thank you for them. For my week 6 article, I would like to answer questions from readers on any general fantasy questions. You can ask questions below in the comment box or tweet me on twitter @KStafford32

 

Questions? Comments? Follow Me on Twitter @KStafford32